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Morning Brief FM | January 29, 2025

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The stock market has recently demonstrated a complex interplay of factors leading to a remarkable rebound, especially after suffering setbacksAs investors anxiously awaited crucial announcements from the Federal Reserve and financial disclosures from major tech companies, speculations and reactions rippled through various sectorsFollowing a devastating hit from the emergence of a new competitor, DeepSeek, the U.Sstocks related to artificial intelligence (AI), quantum computing, and nuclear energy made a significant recoveryThe technology-laden Nasdaq Composite witnessed an uplifting increase of 2%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average streaked uphill, nearing its record high.

Significantly, shares of Nvidia surged nearly 9%, leveraging the recent enthusiasm surrounding AI technologiesMeanwhile, Apple experienced a noteworthy gain, seeing increases of over 3% for two consecutive days

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The semiconductor industry reflected a positive trend, with notable players like TSMC climbing by more than 5% and Broadcom achieving over a 2% riseAs the financial reports approached, Microsoft observed a 3% upswing in its stock, while Meta Platforms reached new heights, appreciating over 2%. Following a streak of downturns, Tesla reversed its five-day decline, gaining more than 0.2% in valueMoreover, the Chinese stocks made an impressive turn after being deeply negative in early trading, ultimately closing with gains of over 1%, with Alibaba rising nearly 7%.

Furthermore, the market saw a halt in the rise of U.STreasury yields just ahead of the impending Federal Reserve decisionThe U.Sdollar managed to shake off its one-month low, breaking free from three consecutive days of decline, although the Japanese yen dipped by almost 1% temporarilyThe precious metals and oil sectors reflected a significant rebound as well, with both commodities showing increases exceeding 1% during the trading session.

Turning our focus to Asia, the Hong Kong stock market closed its year of the Dragon on a high note

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The Hang Seng Index rose slightly over 0.1%, and the Hang Seng Tech Index climbed almost 0.8%. In contrast, Xiaomi soared over 3%, hitting an all-time high, while some AI-related stocks faced downward pressure, such as a near 8% drop in Global Data.

Amidst these market fluctuations, significant events unfolded that could reshape economic strategiesThe U.Sgovernment issued stark warnings about newly proposed tariffs, declaring intentions to impose them on various sectors, including semiconductors, pharmaceuticals, steel, copper, and aluminumReports suggested that the new Treasury Secretary aims to push for "progressive universal tariffs," initiating a 2.5% tariff rate that could incrementally rise to a maximum of 20%. As evidenced by recent trends, tariffs have become pivotal factors influencing the Federal Reserve's future decisions.

Moreover, the federal government suspended funding commitments that potentially exceed a staggering trillion dollars, jeopardizing infrastructure and housing projects nationwide

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In response to DeepSeek's ascendance in the AI space, OpenAI's CEO, Sam Altman, cited that the company would unleash more sophisticated models tailored to harness computing power more effectively than ever before.

Meanwhile, SAP, Europe's largest software firm, exhibited optimism, projecting an acceleration in cloud revenue growth, particularly if conditions regarding the use of Chinese models were met, highlighting an anticipation of surging demand stimulated by DeepSeek's developmentsAdditionally, the luxury market anticipates potential rebound signals as LVMH reported unexpected organic growth for 2024, affirming resilience despite prevailing economic pressures.

Upon closing, the U.Smarkets ended on a positive trajectory, with the Dow Jones climbing by 0.31%, the S&P 500 rising by 0.92%, and the Nasdaq soaring by 2.03%. Over in Europe, the bounce was palpable as the STOXX 600 index gained 0.36%, marking a new all-time closing high

Germany’s DAX 30 index rose by 0.70%, whereas France's CAC 40 dipped slightly by 0.12%, and the FTSE 100 in the UK appreciated by 0.35%.

In the bond market, yields steadied as the ten-year U.STreasury rate hovered around 4.53%, reflecting stability from Monday, while the two-year yield saw a slight reduction, dropping nearly one basis point to about 4.19%. Commodities also experienced upward movements, with WTI crude oil for March delivery gaining 0.82% to finish at $73.77 per barrel, and Brent crude rising by 0.53% to $77.49 per barrelFurthermore, February gold futures climbed close to 1.1%, hitting $2767.5 per ounce, whereas some base metals underwent declines.

On a macroeconomic note, striking news indicated that U.Sdurable goods orders unexpectedly fell 2.2% in December, primarily driven by a notable decrease in aircraft ordersIn contrast, core durable goods orders exceeded expectations, showing growth that would assist economists in revising fourth-quarter GDP estimates pertaining to business equipment spending.

Shifting focus to global tech, rumors swirled concerning an open letter by Nvidia’s CEO, Jensen Huang, addressing DeepSeek, only for Nvidia to rebuff the claims as false

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